How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States this year?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 00:16:32 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 0 (18.0%), Above 1 (12.0%), Above 2 (9.0%). The market has $161K in volume and closes on Fri, 08 Jan 2027.

Updated: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 00:16:32 UTC

Current odds

Market details

• Venue: Kalshi
• Volume: $161K
• Liquidity: $161K
• Closes: Fri, 08 Jan 2027

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 0:

If the total number of New World screwworm infestation cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 0, then the market resolves to Yes. Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 8). Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026. See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized. This market refers exclusively to human cases. Important information: To clarify, for purposes of this Contract, "cases" of New World screwworm refers to human cases only, consistent with the prior event in this series under equivalent rulebook variables. The Contract has been amended to provide that, unless otherwise specified, disease cases refer to human cases.

Sources

• Source: Kalshi market

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