What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 2000 (97.0%), At least 2500 (89.0%), At least 3000 (82.0%). The market has $201K in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 2000 | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least 2500 | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| At least 3000 | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| At least 3500 | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
| At least 4000 | 66.0% | 66.0¢ | 34.0¢ |
| At least 4500 | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| At least 5000 | 46.0% | 46.0¢ | 54.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $201K
- Liquidity: $201K
- Closes:
Sources
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