Alcatraz reopened in 2026?
As of Mon, 14 Sep 2026 13:00:42 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (14.8%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 14.8% | 14.8¢ | 85.2¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $88
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources
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