Will Trump be impeached?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 05:18:16 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2028 (64.0%), Before Oct 1, 2027 (57.0%), Before Aug 1, 2027 (48.0%). The market has $4.9M in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before Jan 1, 202864.0%64.0¢36.0¢
Before Oct 1, 202757.0%57.0¢43.0¢
Before Aug 1, 202748.0%48.0¢52.0¢
Before Jun 1, 202741.0%41.0¢59.0¢
Before Jul 1, 202740.0%40.0¢60.0¢
Before May 1, 202739.0%39.0¢61.0¢
Before Apr 1, 202731.0%31.0¢69.0¢
Before Mar 1, 202726.0%26.0¢74.0¢
Before Feb 1, 202718.0%18.0¢82.0¢
Before Jan 1, 20274.3%4.3¢95.7¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2028:

If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The President must hold the office when an impeachment resolution passes against him or her .

Sources

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