Will Pete Hegseth be impeached?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jul 1, 2027 (45.0%), Before Apr 1, 2027 (43.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Thu, 08 Jul 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jul 1, 2027:
If Pete Hegseth is formally impeached before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Pete Hegseth is impeached when the U.S. House of Representatives adopts at least one article of impeachment against him; a Senate trial or conviction is not required.
Sources
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