Will the House vote on a resolution to expel Ilhan Omar?
As of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 12:26:39 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jul 1, 2027 (36.0%), Before Dec 1, 2026 (16.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (16.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jul 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jul 1, 2027:
If the House has conducted any recorded vote on any resolution providing for the expulsion of Representative Ilhan Omar (D-MN) from the United States House of Representatives, any motion to table, refer, or postpone such a resolution, or any special rule that specifically refers to such a resolution after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This includes: Roll call votes Recorded votes Yea-and-nay votes Electronic votes (in the House) Division/standing votes The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Voice votes where individual member positions are not recorded, including a motion to table, refer, or postpone that is agreed to by voice vote Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote Votes in committee, including any vote of the House Committee on Ethics Procedural determinations by the presiding officer, including a ruling on whether a resolution is privileged, and any vote on an appeal of such a ruling Deemed passage without an actual vote A Member giving notice of intent to offer, reading, or introducing a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar A vote on adjourning or recessing, or on any special rule or other measure that does not specifically refer to a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar A vote on an amendment to a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar A vote on a resolution that only censures or reprimands Ilhan Omar, removes her from committee assignments, or authorizes or…
Sources
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