2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 11:49:05 UTC, Polymarket traders price Kuomintang (KMT) (69.0%), Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) (30.3%), Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) (0.1%). The market has $76K in volume and closes on Sun, 29 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kuomintang (KMT) | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) | 30.3% | 30.3¢ | 69.8¢ |
| Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Prices on other venues
| Outcome | Venue | Chance | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kuomintang (KMT) | Kalshi | 67.0% | |
| Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) | Kalshi | 4.0% |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $76K
- Liquidity: $165K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties: Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose E…
Sources
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