2026 Midterms: House Turnout
As of Tue, 25 Aug 2026 21:35:31 UTC, Polymarket traders price 115-120m (30.5%), 110-115m (22.0%), 120-125m (12.0%). The market has $34K in volume and closes on Wed, 04 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115-120m | 30.5% | 30.5¢ | 69.5¢ |
| 110-115m | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| 120-125m | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| 130m+ | 11.8% | 11.8¢ | 88.1¢ |
| 105-110m | 8.1% | 8.1¢ | 91.9¢ |
| 125-130m | 7.5% | 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ |
| 100-105m | 5.5% | 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ |
| 95-100m | 1.7% | 1.7¢ | 98.3¢ |
| 90-95m | 0.9% | 0.9¢ | 99.1¢ |
| <85m | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ |
| 85-90m | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $34K
- Liquidity: $181K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Sources
Related markets
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- California Governor Election Winner
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Next French Presidential Election
- Will the SAVE Act become law?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.