Will the Treasury grant retroactive cannabis tax relief?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:29:09 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jul 1, 2027 (56.0%), Before Apr 1, 2027 (39.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (23.0%). The market has $12K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Aug 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $12K
- Liquidity: $12K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jul 1, 2027:
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury or the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) announces prior-year Section 280E relief for state-licensed medical marijuana businesses before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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