Lisa Cook departure announced?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 02:02:45 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 2029 (26.0%), Before Jul 2028 (21.0%), Before Jan 2028 (16.0%). The market has $2.4M in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 2029 | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| Before Jul 2028 | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Before Jan 2028 | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Before Jul 2027 | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Before Jan 2027 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2.4M
- Liquidity: $2.4M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 2029:
If Lisa DeNell Cook leaves or announces that they will leave their position as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement that they will leave office is sufficient to immediately resolve the market to Yes. However, the announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do not count. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) will count even without a prior announcement.
Sources
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