When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:29:09 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2028 (66.0%), Before Oct 1, 2027 (62.0%), Before Jul 1, 2027 (56.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 66.0% | 66.0¢ | 34.0¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2028:
If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028. then the market resolves to Yes. Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent to the Senate.
Sources
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