Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Apr 1, 2027 (64.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (31.0%), Before Dec 1, 2026 (20.0%). The market has $772K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $772K
- Liquidity: $772K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Apr 1, 2027:
If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, "publicly criticize" means Donald Trump must: Make a statement that explicitly expresses disapproval, negative judgment, or unfavorable assessment of Kevin Warsh The criticism must be directed at Kevin Warsh by name, title, or clear contextual reference that a reasonable observer would understand refers to Kevin Warsh in a clear and unambiguous manner The statement must be negative in substance, not merely mentioning Kevin Warsh in a neutral or positive context Criticism must be made by Trump personally, not through official statements that don't quote him directly.
Sources
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