Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
As of Wed, 12 Aug 2026 01:15:19 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (3.6%). The market has $183K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3.6% | 3.6¢ | 96.4¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $183K
- Liquidity: $15K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources
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