Will Trump state that he has fired Lisa Cook?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Apr 1, 2027 (68.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (68.0%), Before Jul 1, 2027 (68.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 08 Jul 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 59.0% | 59.0¢ | 41.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Apr 1, 2027:
If Donald Trump states that he has fired Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The statement must say that Lisa Cook has been fired or removed from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or that he is firing her now (for example, "I'm firing her"). Statements about the August 2025 attempt to fire her do not count. A statement that he will, intends to, or may fire her, including if the Committee of Inquiry finds cause, or that a process to remove her is under way, does not count.
Sources
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