Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:29:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Apr 1, 2027 (75.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (56.0%), Before Dec 1, 2026 (48.0%). The market has $13K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 May 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $13K
- Liquidity: $13K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Apr 1, 2027:
If Donald Trump and any sitting Supreme Court justice meet (including phone calls) after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A qualifying meeting must satisfy the following: both persons must be present (physically or virtually, as specified) and engage in communication or interaction—mere presence in the same location without interaction does not constitute a meeting unless otherwise specified. The meeting must be confirmed by at least one Source Agency through official statement, press release, credible media report, or other documented evidence. The meeting must occur at any point during the time period; for meetings that span across the boundary of the time period, any portion of the meeting occurring within the time period is sufficient. Coincidental encounters without purposeful engagement (e.g., passing in a hallway without acknowledgment) do not count. Communication via intermediaries, written letters, or social media do not count unless specified.
Sources
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