Will Trump visit Camp David again?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Apr 1, 2027 (20.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (20.0%), Before Mar 1, 2027 (19.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 May 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Apr 1, 2027:
If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Camp David after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one. Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit. Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit. For this market, Camp David means the presidential retreat officially designated Naval Support Facility Thurmont in Frederick County, Maryland. Presence solely in the surrounding Catoctin Mountain Park or the town of Thurmont does not constitute a visit.
Sources
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