Will Trump visit Greenland?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 20, 2029 (35.0%), Before Jan 1, 2028 (14.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (6.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC

Current odds

Market details

• Venue: Kalshi
• Volume: $9K
• Liquidity: $9K
• Closes: Fri, 01 Jan 2027

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 20, 2029:

If the President of the United States has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Greenland before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one. Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit. Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.

Sources

• Source: Kalshi market

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