EU loses a member before 2030?

As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 09:05:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (10.0%). The market has $34K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Jan 2030.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes10.0%10.0¢90.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If any country formally leaves the EU by Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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