Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2029 (80.0%), Before Jul 1, 2028 (62.0%), Before Jan 1, 2028 (53.0%). The market has $27K in volume and closes on Mon, 08 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $27K
- Liquidity: $27K
- Closes:
Sources
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