EU has a new member before 2030?

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 02:02:43 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (74.0%). The market has $8K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Jan 2030.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes74.0%74.0¢26.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If Any country joins the EU by Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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