When will Trump nominate someone to the Election Assistance Commission?

As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 09:05:08 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jul 1, 2027 (48.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (23.0%), Before Oct 1, 2026 (9.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before Jul 1, 202748.0%48.0¢52.0¢
Before Jan 1, 202723.0%23.0¢77.0¢
Before Oct 1, 20269.0%9.0¢91.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jul 1, 2027:

If any person is nominated to be member of the Election Assistance Commission after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes. Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent to the Senate.

Sources

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