Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price Adam Telle (43.0%), Sean Parnell (21.0%), Derrick Anderson (7.0%). The market has $12K in volume and closes on Tue, 08 Jan 2030.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Telle | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| Sean Parnell | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Derrick Anderson | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Michael Obadal | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| W. Jordan Gillis | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Brent Ingraham | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Charles Young III | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Brian Mast | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Marc Andersen | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $12K
- Liquidity: $12K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Adam Telle:
If Adam Telle formally holds the position of Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion. If the first qualifying permanent holder is not named in this event, each named market resolves No.
Sources
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