Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 02:41:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price Andrew Oldham (17.0%), D. John Sauer (14.0%), Ted Cruz (8.0%). The market has $750K in volume and closes on Sun, 21 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Oldham | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| D. John Sauer | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Ted Cruz | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| James Ho | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Aileen Cannon | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Neomi Rao | 4.6% | 4.6¢ | 95.4¢ |
| Emil Bove | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Michael Park | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Allison Jones Rushing | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Steven Menashi | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Amul Thapar | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Mike Lee | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Anna St. John | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Kathryn Mizelle | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Gregory G. Katsas | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $750K
- Liquidity: $750K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Andrew Oldham:
If Andrew Oldham is the first person confirmed by the Senate to the position of Justice of the Supreme Court by January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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