Will any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (4.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $6K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If any sitting Supreme Court Justice has been formally charged with any U.S. federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes. Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges. For groups of individuals, charges against any member of the specified group trigger the criterion. For this market, a Justice must be a sitting member of the Supreme Court at the time of charging.
Sources
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