Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:09:25 UTC, Kalshi traders price Rebeca Grynspan (31.0%), Rafael Grossi (22.0%), Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett (13.0%). The market has $115K in volume and closes on Tue, 05 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rebeca Grynspan | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| Rafael Grossi | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Lana Nusseibeh | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Alicia Bárcena | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Nickolay Mladenov | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Macky Sall | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Michelle Bachelet | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Mia Mottley | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Amina J. Mohammed | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Olara Otunnu | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Ivonne A-Baki | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Sigrid Kaag | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Gianni Infantino | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $115K
- Liquidity: $115K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Rebeca Grynspan:
If Rebeca Grynspan is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market.
Sources
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