Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price NONE (58.0%), Robert O'Brien (15.0%), Ric Grenell (10.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Sat, 20 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| NONE | 58.0% | 58.0¢ | 42.0¢ |
| Robert O'Brien | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Ric Grenell | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Bill Hagerty | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Mike Waltz | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $6K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for NONE:
If the next new Secretary of State before Jan 20, 2029 is no other person, then the market resolves to Yes. Acting and Interim positions don't count.
Sources
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