When will Trump's ballroom be completed?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2030 (82.0%), Before Jan 1, 2029 (53.0%), Before Jul 1, 2028 (32.0%). The market has $65K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before Jan 1, 203082.0%82.0¢18.0¢
Before Jan 1, 202953.0%53.0¢47.0¢
Before Jul 1, 202832.0%32.0¢68.0¢
Before Jan 1, 202812.0%12.0¢88.0¢
Before Jan 1, 20274.0%4.0¢96.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2030:

If the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.

Sources

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