Who will Trump pardon this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:13:08 UTC, Kalshi traders price Michael Cohen (26.0%), Larry Householder (18.0%), Nicole Daedone (13.0%). The market has $565K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Cohen | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| Larry Householder | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| Nicole Daedone | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Rachel Cherwitz | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Josh Wander | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| John Kiriakou | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Robin Smith | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Joseph Maldonado | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Leonard Glenn Francis | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Keonne Rodriguez | 8.3% | 8.3¢ | 91.7¢ |
| Sean Combs | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Elizabeth Holmes | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Tal Alexander | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Tim Leissner | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $565K
- Liquidity: $565K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Michael Cohen:
If Michael Cohen has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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