Will the Treasury purchase Bitcoin?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2028 (18.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (3.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sat, 08 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2028:
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. A purchase means Bitcoin acquired for value and held by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, including Bitcoin bought with the proceeds of selling other digital assets already held. The announcement must state that the purchase has been made. The following do NOT count: An intended, planned or authorized purchase, including one authorized by legislation or by executive order Bitcoin confiscated pursuant to criminal or civil enforcement proceedings, or otherwise received rather than bought Exchange-traded products, futures or other derivative exposure
Sources
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