Will the Trump administration be held in contempt over East Potomac this year?
As of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 12:26:38 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (6.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Fri, 08 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If a federal judge holds the Trump administration, a federal agency or a federal official in contempt of court in the litigation over the East Potomac golf course after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Only a finding of civil or criminal contempt of court counts, made in D.C. Preservation League v. Department of the Interior (D.D.C. No. 1:26-cv-00477) or any appeal of it. The finding may be against the administration, any federal agency, any federal official or any government attorney. The following do NOT count: A motion for contempt, or an order to show cause, without a contempt finding A finding of probable cause, or a referral for criminal contempt prosecution, without a contempt finding Rule 11 or other sanctions, fines or fee awards short of a contempt finding A finding that the government violated a court order or acted in bad faith that is not a finding of contempt A contempt finding in any other case
Sources
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