Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 20, 2029 (29.0%), Before Jan 1, 2028 (15.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sat, 20 Jan 2029.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before Jan 20, 202929.0%29.0¢71.0¢
Before Jan 1, 202815.0%15.0¢85.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 20, 2029:

If the President has invoked the Taft-Hartley Act’s national emergency provisions in Section 206 of the Act before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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