Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before end of year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 50% (97.0%), At least 55% (96.0%), At least 60% (43.0%). The market has $53K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least 55% | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| At least 60% | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| At least 65% | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| At least 70% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| At least 75% | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| At least 80% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| At least 85% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 90% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $53K
- Liquidity: $53K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 50%:
If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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