When will Anthropic release Mythos?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 03:40:35 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2027 (15.0%), Before Dec 1, 2026 (5.0%), Before Nov 1, 2026 (3.0%). The market has $2.9M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2.9M
- Liquidity: $2.9M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2027:
If Anthropic releases A model called Mythos before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Sources
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