Will Musk deposit SpaceX shares into 10M Trump Accounts?
As of Fri, 23 Oct 2026 17:30:37 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (47.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If Elon Musk depositing SpaceX shares into the Trump Accounts of at least 10 million children is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency, that A) explicitly states Elon Musk depositing SpaceX shares into the Trump Accounts of at least 10 million children occurred, is true, or has been verified, B) based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation. This requires that SpaceX shares contributed by Elon Musk have been credited to the Trump Accounts of at least 10,000,000 children, with each of those accounts receiving at least one share. Deposits made in more than one round count together toward the 10,000,000. A Source Agency report that Musk's shares have been deposited into every eligible Trump Account, or into a group of accounts it puts at 10,000,000 or more, is sufficient. Shares contributed by Elon Musk include shares given by any foundation, trust, or other entity he controls, or routed through any charity or intermediary, when the gift is part of his October 19, 2026 pledge or a Source Agency credits it to him. A Trump Account is an account established under Section 530A of the Internal Reve…
Sources
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