Will Trump try to leave the USMCA?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before 2029 (51.0%), Before 2028 (51.0%), Before 2027 (14.0%). The market has $19K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2029 | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| Before 2028 | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| Before 2027 | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $19K
- Liquidity: $19K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before 2029:
If the United States submits a notice of withdrawal from the USMCA before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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