Will Trump impose capital controls?
As of Thu, 01 Oct 2026 16:07:53 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (20.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Sat, 20 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $6K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If the United States has imposed new capital controls in an attempt to limit capital from leaving the United States and going to any country (as opposed to on one specific country) before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Examples of capital controls for the purposes of this Contract include: direct restrictions on outbound transfers (e.g. a regulation requiring government approval or an outright ban on transactions outside of the country above some threshold), asset freeze orders (e.g. ordering banks not to issue cash en masse), setting a rule on the absolute cap of cash that can be physically carried out of the country (as opposed to merely mandating reporting of an amount), foreign exchange purchase limits, and new reporting requirements on capital transfers. Restrictions on capital from coming into the United States are not included in the Payout Criterion.
Sources
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