When will the debt limit be increased?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2028 (91.0%), Before Nov 1, 2027 (71.0%), Before Oct 1, 2027 (61.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before Jan 1, 202891.0%91.0¢9.0¢
Before Nov 1, 202771.0%71.0¢29.0¢
Before Oct 1, 202761.0%61.0¢39.0¢
Before Jul 1, 202747.0%47.0¢53.0¢
Before Mar 1, 202730.0%30.0¢70.0¢
Before Jan 1, 202729.0%29.0¢71.0¢
Before Nov 1, 20263.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2028:

If legislation that increases the statutory limit on the public debt has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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