When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2027 (20.0%), Before Dec 1, 2026 (6.0%), Before Nov 1, 2026 (3.0%). The market has $59K in volume and closes on Sat, 02 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $59K
- Liquidity: $59K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2027:
If a reconciliation bill passes the House before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Such bills typically begin with the phrase: “To provide for reconciliation pursuant to…"
Sources
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