Will Trump insult Hegseth by December 31?
As of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 05:42:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (26.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $688
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults Pete Hegseth between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at Pete Hegseth, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at Pete Hegseth within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Pete Hegseth either personally or profess…
Sources
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