Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:04:38 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 (44.5%), June 30, 2027 (27.0%), December 31, 2026 (4.7%). The market has $65K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 44.5% | 44.5¢ | 55.5¢ |
| June 30, 2027 | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| December 31, 2026 | 4.7% | 4.7¢ | 95.3¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $65K
- Liquidity: $19K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for December 31, 2027:
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Sources
Related markets
- How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
- Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.