Human moon landing in 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:30:11 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (0.9%). The market has $2.0M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.9% | 0.9¢ | 99.1¢ |
Prices on other venues
| Outcome | Venue | Chance | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Opinion | 94.0% |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2.0M
- Liquidity: $22K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources
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