Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:23:12 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31 (13.5%), October 31 (6.8%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 13.5% | 13.5¢ | 86.5¢ |
| October 31 | 6.8% | 6.8¢ | 93.3¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $9K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify. Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm. The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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