How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:49:09 UTC, Polymarket traders price 140-159 (70.7%), 120-139 (9.1%), 180-199 (4.8%). The market has $71K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 140-159 | 70.7% | 70.7¢ | 29.3¢ |
| 120-139 | 9.1% | 9.1¢ | 90.9¢ |
| 180-199 | 4.8% | 4.8¢ | 95.2¢ |
| 200 or more | 3.5% | 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ |
| 160-179 | 2.5% | 2.5¢ | 97.5¢ |
| 100-119 | 0.9% | 0.9¢ | 99.1¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $71K
- Liquidity: $7K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Sources
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