Richest person on December 31, 2026?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 17:05:12 UTC, Polymarket traders price Elon Musk (97.3%), Warren Buffett (0.8%), Jeff Bezos (0.4%). The market has $1.6M in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Elon Musk97.3%97.3¢2.8¢
Warren Buffett0.8%0.8¢99.2¢
Jeff Bezos0.4%0.4¢99.6¢
Mark Zuckerberg0.4%0.4¢99.7¢
Jensen Huang0.3%0.3¢99.8¢
Steve Ballmer0.3%0.3¢99.8¢
Bernard Arnault0.3%0.3¢99.8¢
Larry Ellison0.3%0.3¢99.8¢
Sergey Brin0.3%0.3¢99.8¢
Larry Page0.1%0.1¢99.9¢
Michael Dell0.1%0.1¢100.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Sources

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