SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:40:58 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (2.1%). The market has $31K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.1% | 2.1¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $31K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
Sources
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