Hy4: Text Arena Debut?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 20:11:59 UTC, Polymarket traders price 1440+ (76.5%), 1460+ (40.0%), 1480+ (19.5%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jul 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1440+ | 76.5% | 76.5¢ | 23.5¢ |
| 1460+ | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| 1480+ | 19.5% | 19.5¢ | 80.5¢ |
| 1500+ | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Tencent Hy4 model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be Tencent's Hy4, released on November 4, 2026. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere. A model marked "AutoEval" will not be considered added to the leaderboard. Only scores displayed without the "AutoEval" label will be considered. If multiple models are added to the leaderboard on the same calendar date (ET), the highest-scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added to the leaderboard on the calendar date following the initial qualifying model's first appearance will not be considered. If a model is first added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard but is subsequently removed and not re-added, such that it is not displayed on the leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following its first appearance, its appearance will not qualify as added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard.…
Sources
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