AI data center in space by...?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:22:08 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 (24.0%), December 31, 2026 (2.1%). The market has $28K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
December 31, 202724.0%24.0¢76.0¢
December 31, 20262.1%2.1¢97.9¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Sources

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