Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (27.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Fri, 08 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If Gyanesh Kumar leaves as Chief Election Commissioner of India before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Gyanesh Kumar must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure and the natural expiration of a term. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
Sources
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