Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?

As of Tue, 06 Oct 2026 20:04:14 UTC, Kalshi traders price Samuel Alito (56.0%), Clarence Thomas (48.0%), John Roberts (20.0%). The market has $105K in volume and closes on Sat, 20 Jan 2029.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Samuel Alito56.0%56.0¢44.0¢
Clarence Thomas48.0%48.0¢52.0¢
John Roberts20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
Sonia Sotomayor11.0%11.0¢89.0¢
Amy Coney Barrett5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Brett Kavanaugh3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Elena Kagan3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Ketanji Brown Jackson3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Neil Gorsuch3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Sources

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