Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:32:39 UTC, Polymarket traders price Belgium (10.0%), New Zealand (8.5%), Finland (7.5%). The market has $667K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| New Zealand | 8.5% | 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ |
| Finland | 7.5% | 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ |
| Italy | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| The Netherlands | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Greece | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| United States | 5.7% | 5.7¢ | 94.3¢ |
| Germany | 4.5% | 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ |
| Japan | 4.2% | 4.2¢ | 95.9¢ |
| Austria | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Israel | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $667K
- Liquidity: $108K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources
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